Portland looks to regain momentum at San Francisco

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Jan 18, 2014; San Francisco, CA, USA; San Diego Toreros guard

Johnny Dee

(1) drives to the basket against San Francisco Dons forward

Mark Tollefsen

(23) during the second half at War Memorial Gymnasium. The San Francisco Dons defeated the San Diego Toreros 64-62. Mandatory Credit: Ed Szczepanski-USA TODAY Sports

San Francisco Dons (13-8, 6-3) vs. Portland Pilots (12-9, 4-5)

Date: Wednesday, January 29, 2014

Location: War Memorial Gym, San Francisco, CA

Time: 7:00 PM PST

TV: None

Video: TheW.tv

LiveStats: http://client.stretchinternet.com/client/usf.portal#

Last Season: San Francisco won at Portland 76-74.  Portland won at San Francisco 78-76.

PROJECTED STARTERS 

San Francisco

Matt Glover, 8.7 PPG, 3.4 APG

Avry Holmes, 11.6 PPG

Cole Dickerson, 14.6 PPG, 7.5 RPG

Kruize Pinkins, 12.2 PPG, 6.7 RPG

Mark Tollefsen, 11.4 PPG

Portland

Alec Wintering, 7.8 PPG, 4.1 APG

Bryce Pressley, 7.9 PPG, 3.4 APG

Kevin Bailey, 17.2 PPG

Ryan Nicholas, 12.6 PPG, 9.2 RPG

Thomas van der Mars, 12.5 PPG, 7.0 RPG

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KEYS TO THE GAME

San Francisco

Ride the hot hand:  Cole Dickerson has been on fire as of late, 18.8 points per game over his last five games.  Ryan Nicholas will be occupied with Kruize Pinkins and Thomas van der Mars will be occupied with Mark Tollefsen, so assume to see Dickerson take advantage of a smaller defender should the Pilots choose to play man-to-man.  (Which they likely will due to San Francisco’s three point shooting prowess).

Portland

Look for Ryan Nicholas:  Portland is 3-0 this season when Nicholas scores more than 15 points.  Kevin Bailey is a great scorer, but Nicholas, alongside Thomas van der Mars, is a potent frontcourt that the Pilots need to take better advantage of.

KEY MATCHUP

Thomas van der Mars vs. Mark Tollefsen: Van der Mars is the more traditional post player while Tollefsen is a more versatile big man who can also play on the perimeter.  It will be interesting to see which of these contrasting styles will win out in Wednesday’s game.

PREDICTION

San Francisco is a tough team to beat at home, and the Pilots do not have much experience playing against WCC teams on the road (7 of their 9 conference games have been at home).  Therefore, I expect an 82-72 victory for the San Francisco Dons.